India on high alert as danger of migration of Rohingya
The situation in Myanmar has deteriorated rapidly over the past two weeks, particularly in the Rakhine State. Media reports indicate that the military junta is losing its grip, while the Arakan Army, a rebel group, is strengthening its position.
This escalation of instability is raising alarm along the Bangladesh-Myanmar border, fueling fears of a potential influx of Rohingya refugees. India is closely monitoring these developments.
India is reportedly in active communication with various stakeholders in Myanmar, including both the military regime and rebel groups. However, the volatile situation poses significant challenges, especially the risk of Rohingya refugees migrating toward India’s borders.
Another pressing concern is the possibility of anti-India elements exploiting the chaos in Myanmar to gain influence in border regions such as Mizoram and Manipur.
Indian security agencies have also expressed apprehensions about the proliferation of advanced weapons among Myanmar’s rebel factions. These arms could potentially reach insurgent groups operating in northeastern India. Furthermore, there are increasing reports of drug trafficking by rebel groups in Myanmar as a means of funding their operations, compounding India’s security concerns.
On December 19-20, a key meeting was held in Bangkok to address the crisis in Myanmar, attended by representatives from neighboring countries. India’s Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri participated in the discussions. According to sources, the delegates, including India, underscored the importance of fostering dialogue between Myanmar’s military government and rebel factions.
Myanmar’s foreign minister, representing the junta, assured attendees that elections would be held next year. However, with rebel groups now controlling a substantial portion of the country, including approximately 45 out of 70 towns in Rakhine State, skepticism remains high regarding the feasibility of this commitment.
Despite efforts by the junta, backed by China, to reclaim lost territories, the influence of the rebel forces continues to grow, adding to the challenges faced by the region.
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